The Daily Bones

May/10

16

Global Warming: fact or fiction? Who cares?

Global Warming.  The thoughts are already swirling in your head concerning your feelings on the matter, I’m sure.  Ready to vehemently disagree with what I’m about to tell you or quickly jump to the comments to express your support.  Well, sorry to both of you, because I don’t care which side will ultimately be right.

The debate on global warming is probably one of the most fascinating and controversial issues our generation currently faces.  It’s fundamentally divided along the usual lines: liberal vs. conservative, religion vs. science, young vs. old, brother vs. brother.  It’s clearly an important issue and there are a lot of fired up people out there that will go to the grave arguing for their cause.

As will I.  But my argument centers around something that many are missing out on, especially given the dark scary cloud hovering over the world economy.  The fact is this: investment to create a sustainable environment will greatly benefit the world economically, not to mention possibly halting the process of supposed man-made global warming.

Western consumption has fed an ever-growing global economy, and this consumption relies on several tenants, the most important of which is turnover of goods.  Materials like plastic and Styrofoam allow the cost of goods of consumer goods to decrease and contribute to the ubiquity of disposal goods.  Anyone with a high school diploma willing to look into the long term can clearly see that the amount of waste produced by western civilization is unsustainable, all factors remaining constant.  Add population growth into the equation, and it becomes a serious issue for our children.  Throw in the several billion people in places like China and India who are about to enter the middle class over the next several decades, and it becomes a devastating global problem threatening our viability to sustain life on this planet.

Let’s be clear.  I’m about the farthest thing from an environmentalist, and I love technology enough to be considered guiltier than most in the consumption department.  Hopefully that quiets you right wingers who are still with me.  But it’s hard to disprove the logic behind the argument that the amount of waste we produce needs to be curbed dramatically.

So that’s the feel good why, but what’s the economic why?  Where’s the incentive?  Innovation is the key here.  Reducing the amount of waste the civilized world produces is a daunting task.  You are not going to un-learn the consumption habits of western society, no matter how hard you try.  Recycling is effective in cutting waste and natural resource and energy consumption, but it’s not a widespread practice.  New methods and technologies need to be developed to solve this issue in creative ways.  Technologies are developed through research.  Research provides jobs.  People need jobs (especially now) to make money, and they send it right back into the economy through consumption.  It’s a beautiful cycle and encourages reinvestment and development.  That’s just the start.

Innovation cultivates smart people and also attracts them from other countries, firing off another key growth factor.  These talented individuals will further enhance innovation, start businesses, create more jobs, and trigger other positive effects.  All of this is great news for the American economy (and has huge implications on the global political climate, which is a completely different can of worms).

Lastly, it has the potential to elevate the depths of our workforce into more “thought” intensive positions as opposed to low level service positions at Walmart.  See, everybody wins.

I’m usually not this much of an optimist, but damn does this sound good on paper.  The barriers are monumental, and given the power of those who stand to lose in this battle, it seems close to impossible to enact.  If nothing else, though, there’s no reason to waste our dwindling supply of fresh oxygen arguing about the temperature.  It’s time to see the overwhelming positive in a united effort for sustainability on the planet, invest some money in R&D, and get some ROI before the opportunity passes.

I invite anyone who sees a problem with net-zero consumption to a duel to the death (or a friendly conversation in the comments).

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May/10

9

Investing in a Flexible Future

Making the decision to live within your means is like a pre-nuptial agreement with your job.  Failure to do so could leave you in a bad financial position if things don’t work out.

This jumped out at me while reading two posts loosely related on the surface: one that analyzes why so many Ivy League graduates join Wall St firms upon graduation (link) and the other discussing the burden of consumer debt (link).  With all of the job dissatisfaction that I encounter, the advice in this post is required knowledge.

I highly suggest reading both articles in their entirety, but if you’re looking for enough to get through my post, see the footnotes here and here.

These articles work incredibly well in tandem, as debt (especially of the consumer variety) becomes an increasingly large hurdle to change your life as you age and encounter fiscally intensive life milestones.  It’s quite difficult to alter your career path if you need to support a family, and consumer debt provides that last mountain you may not be able to climb, effectively limiting you to your current situation.

Smart financial decisions are an investment necessary to provide future flexibility, plain and simple. Consider the following two scenarios. In both cases, the individuals put aside some money, but treat income increases differently.

Scenario 1: John graduates college and starts working for a major consulting firm.  He embraces the life style that his salary affords, buys the best new car he can afford and spends his weekend nights draining $12 whiskey drinks in the city.  He finances deals on his apartment furniture, has an iPhone, but still manages to save 5-6% for his 401k or other investments.  After 3 years, equally increasing his expenses with salary, John meets a girl and within 2 years he’s married.

Scenario 2: Jane graduates from the same school and John and works for the same consulting firm.  She realizes this job (and salary) may not last forever, and wants to remain flexible if life doesn’t go as planned.  She buys a used car; nice, but not extravagant.  She keeps tabs on her expenses, maintaining discipline even as she sees her annual income increase.  She also ends up with a spouse after 4 years, but has considerable savings because of her lifestyle choices.

Of the two, obviously Jane is in a better spot to take a risk and move from her high paying, big firm job to go back to school, or start a company, while still living relatively comfortably.  She can risk some time without a stable salary to pursue other opportunities.  John, on the other hand, has grown accustomed to his lifestyle.  Monthly payments and growing family aspirations require him to be risk averse.  His fiscal mistakes early on, which have now compounded, have left him for more cemented into his current employment situation.

I’d much rather be in Jane’s situation, obviously.  I may indulge in unnecessary expenses and I have my fun, but I absolutely avoid burdening consumer debt that will compound and limit my options in the future.  I treat income bumps as a savings opportunity to invest in my future, not as a means to scoring the best apartment I can afford in SoHo.

It’s all a matter of discipline and resisting the temptation of co-workers like John.  Naturally, it’s much easier said than done.

Footnotes

1) “Why do Harvard Kids Head to Wall St?” by James Kwak discusses the various methods firms employ to attract Ivy League graduates to investment and management consulting firms, namely selling the opportunity for future overachievement, large salaries, and lavish headquarter offices. To someone who has been a success their entire life, feels the pressure to live up to their potential and is potentially strapped with debt, these firms are an attractive alternative to difficult to find positions at smaller firms or seeking out that “dream job”.

2) “Consumer Debt is not Your Friend” by marketing god Seth Godin describes the overwhelming burden of consumer debt and the intense use of it as a marketing tool.  He warns that taking on debt for anything that decreases in value is a worrisome mistake, while deferring payment on expenses that increase in value (like education) is worthwhile.

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May/10

2

The Social Problems of “Social” Media

A flurry of blog posts have been written around the pros and cons of “social” media lately given the newly introduced Open Graph on Facebook.  What seems to be ignored, however, is the sustainability of such a system and its impacts on the growth of younger generations.

My generation experienced the rise of sites like Facebook and MySpace while we were in college.  We were the original target market for Facebook and contributed directly to the rapid and viral success.  The value in social media lies in the ability of someone to utilize the efficiencies created by these tools as a complement to their day to day interactions with friends.  Our generation understands that social media is not a replacement for phone calls and rendezvous, but as an enabler for maintaining relationships with people all over the world, whom we may not be able to meet with easily in real life.

For the next generation of kids, this understanding may not be so clear.  My chief concern is for the less outgoing kids who now have a low risk option for meeting new friends.  Developing relationships through technology is fine, but not when it’s in an asynchronous manner.

“Social” is more of a loose description of the trend than an appropriate name.  The interactions between people on these sites are generally asynchronous in nature.  If I want to check up on a friend, I have the ability to simply log into a web site, search for his or her name, and track their most recent life events.  I see all of their photos from their latest trip to Europe.  I find out they’re no longer dating that girl from college.  In no way was I required to interact with this person to find out the most recent news about their life.  No chance of rejection.  No feeling of connection.  No risk and no reward.  No social interaction.

If a relationship was developed chiefly through this manner, it is really a pseudo relationship.  I’m no psychologist, but I’d venture to say this would have a fairly drastic impact on the social development of these individuals.

The heart of the problem is the one-sided nature of Facebook and Twitter and the increasingly low barrier to entry to gain access to personal information.  The act of “friending” a person on a social networking site has become easier than saying “hello” to a stranger for some people.  This request is the only point at which rejection can occur, and the chances are minuscule that the request will be denied if you’ve at least become an acquaintance of the person.  From this point on, you can now access whatever they choose to make public (and even some things that they don’t directly intend to publish) without them ever knowing.

All of the risks are removed.  Those who have gone through adolescence without the crutch of social networking sites have gone through the turbulent period of social development known as grades 6-12.  Facebook provides a segment of the generation an easy alternative to taking social risks, and many will give in to these temptations.  I suppose we won’t know exactly how this will affect the following generations until it may be too late, but isn’t that always the case?

You could argue that my generation experienced something similar with the widespread use of instant messaging. Just like kids now, we could hide behind a computer screen to have an acceptable and relatively risk free alternative to approaching the cute girl after class.  Until the massive growth and usage of Facebook, the conversation through a computer was at least reasonably real time and direct.  Sure, you couldn’t see the expression of the individual with whom you were speaking, or hear the tone of their voice either.  But it was direct communication that generally required immediate response, so I’ll consider that as an improvement over the way the internet functions socially today.  (And really, this is one of the most valuable features of the internet age for keeping in touch).

Call me a traditionalist, attempting to stick up for the status quo, but I’d disagree.  I merely hope that the potential pitfalls of the widespread misuse of these tools will not lead to a generation of people sitting behind screens (familiar to those who have the seen the movie Wall-E) communicating with everyone but those nearby.

Technology affords us great efficiencies, but they shouldn’t be applied to a social context.  A huge difference exists between increasing the transparency and speed of a supply chain process and allowing personal information to exchange hands openly and with little barriers.  Too many social implications and risks exist for us to allow it (stalking, domestic abuse, etc).

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Apr/10

29

Quarter Life Crisis? Read this

Nearly every time I have a conversation with college or high school friends leads to discussion about discontent with their employment situation, and hints at the so called “quarter life crisis”.  We’re all frustrated with our jobs for various reasons, and it seems to be quite the common theme of our generation.  It seems to be a bit more frequent with my college friends.  We all grew up in relatively similar situations: suburban upbringing, relatively stable family life, excelled in high school, went to a good private college.  After a reasonably successful 4 years, we got jobs in or near big cities, that pay well, and are considered the “right path towards a career”.  But we’re not satisfied.  Something’s missing.

Today, on Hacker News, an article was posted from 2002  that’s a must read for anyone feeling frustrated by what I described above.

Link to “What Should I Do With My Life?”

Some pertinent quotes:

“People don’t succeed by migrating to a “hot” industry (one word: dotcom) or by adopting a particular career-guiding mantra (remember “horizontal careers”?). They thrive by focusing on the question of who they really are — and connecting that to work that they truly love (and, in so doing, unleashing a productive and creative power that they never imagined).”

“Your calling isn’t something you inherently “know,” some kind of destiny. Far from it. Almost all of the people I interviewed found their calling after great difficulty.”

“The ruling assumption is that money is the shortest route to freedom. Absurdly, that strategy is cast as the “practical approach.” But in truth, the opposite is true.”

“Intensity comes across as a pale busyness , while passion is meaningful and fulfilling. A simple test: Is your choice something that will stimulate you for a year or something that you can be passionate about for 10 years?”

“You’ll be a lot happier if you aren’t fighting the value system around you. Find one that enforces a set of beliefs that you can really get behind. There’s a powerful transformative effect when you surround yourself with like-minded people.”

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Apr/10

27

Why I don’t Walk Crosstown: The Influence of Shorter Steps

I’ve lived in New York City for about 2 years now. I walk everywhere I go for the most part, mainly because I’ve come to realize the time spent waiting for a bus or train ends up being quite close to the time it would have taken for me to walk most places (within reason, of course, usually < 2 miles). One exception: I never walk crosstown.

The walk from my apartment to the United Nations Secretariat building, where I work at the moment, is 25 city blocks or roughly 1.5 miles. I make this walk probably 60-70% of the days I go there. The distance from my apartment to 8th Avenue is 1.5 miles. I’ve walked this twice.

It just occurred to me why. NYC Street blocks are on average 1/16 of a mile, so they’re incredibly short. NYC Avenues are spaced (approximately) 1/4 apart, usually 3-4 times the distance of a city block (source). When you walk north-south, it feels like you’re getting somewhere. When you walk between avenues, the distance between streets seems endless.

This revelation has applications beyond my transportation habits. It’s the key to getting things done and overcoming procrastination. Or, as Seth Godin puts it, “getting through The Dip“. If you’re like me, the spacing of steps can make or break a project. If points on a roadmap (no pun intended) are spaced too far apart, the distance between them becomes the barrier to tackling the smaller tasks that make up the larger whole. Spaced too close, little happens in between and the time spent managing the steps outweighs the benefits.

I keep this in mind when I start to hit the point at which a project is no longer exciting. I break down the remaining tasks into manageable chunks, and force myself through the lull. To go back to my walking metaphor, I walk a few blocks north, cross one avenue, then head north again. Using this approach, my productivity has sky rocketed, and I get some more exercise too.

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